Thursday, May 1, 2008

Hooray, hooray, and all that

In the Devil Rays Era, here are the Blue Jays' records in April, total wins in the season, and expected wins if April were the entire year.

Year April W AprW Diff
2001 0.640 80 104 -24
1999 0.542 84 88 -4
2006 0.522 87 85 2
2005 0.520 80 84 -4
2007 0.520 83 84 -1
2000 0.462 83 75 8
2008 0.393 ??? 64 ???
1998 0.385 88 62 26
2003 0.357 86 58 28
2002 0.333 78 54 24
2004 0.318 67 52 16

Optimistic view: The team's been worse in April and has still finished with 85+ wins. The 1989 team (not shown) was worse than the 2008 team in April and played in October. This does not mean they should hire Cito. Go away, all of you.

Pessimistic view: The Jays haven't had more than 88 wins in ten years.

Another view: The best April in team history is 1992 (16-7, .696) with Cito (This does not mean they should...), then it's 1985 (13-7, .650) with Bobby Cox. So, two great Aprils, two great managers. Then in third place in 2001 is...Buck Martinez?

1 comment:

Tybalt said...

Forget Cito, clearly what the Jays need is to hire Bob Brenly.